Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.918350 6.494411 7.128296 7.882515 8.762020 9.763429 11.001833
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.090420 5.875156 6.808802 8.021570 9.586432 11.584158 14.409621
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.496255 5.349818 6.415452 7.880346 9.905204 12.712855 17.121166
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.084583 4.971475 6.119792 7.769730 10.181202 13.767878 19.955957
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.742713 4.635283 5.824078 7.593328 10.300187 14.574194 22.600830
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.507165 4.412309 5.649336 7.551695 10.592361 15.686417 26.138858
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.314116 4.227114 5.503598 7.525383 10.890036 16.854790 30.234891
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.201097 4.141940 5.489270 7.691880 11.523917 18.769576 36.872119
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.998253 3.912117 5.239401 7.450666 11.403449 19.186852 40.074572
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.818498 3.704076 5.006001 7.211031 11.248230 19.494812 43.167772
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.680516 3.549001 4.842023 7.070170 11.255140 20.151993 47.724120
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.568469 3.425881 4.718646 6.985625 11.356509 21.047020 53.723032
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.543867 3.439955 4.823324 7.331035 12.418288 24.692338 74.435913
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.472819 3.379312 4.804571 7.456705 13.063108 27.594528 97.617409
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.361659 3.248830 4.659916 7.329993 13.128055 28.901745 115.275686
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.265187 3.136020 4.536666 7.230646 13.238545 30.410392 138.689067
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.166599 3.014615 4.390662 7.072064 13.182246 31.377792 161.626771
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.095677 2.934145 4.309755 7.034609 13.416898 33.472630 205.685235
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.032207 2.862494 4.239343 7.010933 13.683331 35.844973 270.652421
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.999375 2.839270 4.252429 7.160683 14.436105 40.628723 438.614838
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.915257 2.726980 4.099191 6.943676 14.150893 40.824744 508.496366
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.836363 2.620530 3.951515 6.727738 13.840019 40.808836 582.631478
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.774672 2.540673 3.848381 6.600640 13.765641 41.928180 749.324588